Before the print · expectations2 days to the print
Street consensus
The record · last 8 prints
Move ruler · first session
Options price ±3.8%, above the ±3.0% ADP usually moves: they already pay for a bigger reaction than usual.
What the record doesn't tell you
Beat estimates 8 of 8 times. So which way does ADP go on 10‑28?
- Model lean for 10-28, and the evidence behind it
- Move band, P10 – P90
- Last 8 prints, quarter by quarter
- Peers that already reported, and how they traded